As of this time, there are two Low Pressure Areas closely monitored over the Western Pacific. One is 94W which is curently embedded in the active Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and the second one, 95W near Palawan. Listed below are the Tropical Analysis of both active disturbance in Northwestern Pacific Region.
Tropical Disturbance 94W | |
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale | Tropical Disturbance |
Location | 7.2N 134.5E |
Distance | 46.3296 km East-Southeast of Palau |
Maximum Sustained Winds | 28 kph |
Gustiness Winds | 37 kph |
Movement | Quasi-Stationary |
Towards | Palau-Philippine Sea |
Maximum Sea Wave Height | no available data yet |
Minimum Sea Level Pressure | 1007 mb |
Latest satellite imagery depicts a developing low-level circulation center with a deep convection on the center.Because of this disturbance, light to moderate rains with thunderstorms continues to affect Western Micronesia especially Palau and Yap region.
Numerical weather guidance models such as ECMWF and CMC forecasts this system to develop into an active cyclone within the next two days. Latest models show that it will tracks NW-WNW heading towards Northern Philippine Sea-Southern Japan area.
Tropical Disturbance 95W | |
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale | Tropical Disturbance |
Location | 9.1N 120.8E |
Distance | near Southwest of Palawan |
Maximum Sustained Winds | 28 kph |
Gustiness Winds | 37 kph |
Movement | moving northwestward |
Towards | towards Western Philippine Sea-Vietnam |
Maximum Sea Wave Height | no available data yet |
Minimum Sea Level Pressure | 1010 mb |
Based on the latest models and observations, Tropical Disturbance 95W is not expected to strengthen or gather more strength. However, this disturbance is expected to bring scattered rains and thunderstorms across Western Visayas-Palawan area.
WEATHER ANALYSIS & OBSERVATION IN THE PHILIPPINES:
Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) is still the dominant weather disturbance to affect the country. This disturbance is expected to bring scattered rain showers and thunderstorms over Southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao. While moderate to widespread rains is expected to affect Palawan and Eastern Mindanao which may trigger flash floods and landslides
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