Miyerkules, Hunyo 27, 2012

TS Doksui has maintained its strength and enhancing the Southwest Monsoon...96W develops

Tropical Storm Doksuri (Dindo/07W)
06:30 AM PhST 06/28/2012
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 ANALYSIS AND OBSERVATION
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  •  latest satellite imagery shows that low level circulation center remains exposed, approximately 74.08 km east of the main area of deep convection..heading towards Northern Luzon (Balintang Island-Calayan Island-Camiguin Island early today)
  • will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon across the archipelago especially in the western section. This will bring rains and windy conditions over the western sections of the country which may trigger flash floods and landslides

Tropical Storm Doksuri (Dindo/07W)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale
Tropical Storm
Location
18.0N 124.7E
Distance
58.38 km Northeast of Manila
Maximum Sustained Winds
65 kph
Gustiness Winds
83 kph
Movement
west-northwestward @ 26 kph
Towards
extreme Northern Luzon (northern tip of Cagayan)
Maximum Sea Wave Height
15 feet
Minimum Sea Level Pressure
998mb












PHILIPPINE PUBLIC STORM WARNING SIGNALS
As of 05:00 A.M PhST 06/28/2012
PSWS #
LUZON
VISAYAS
MINDANAO
Signal No. 1
(45-60 kph winds)
La Union
Ilocos Sur
Aurora
Ifugao
Nueva Vizcaya
Quirino
Benguet
None
None
Signal No.2
(60-100 kph winds)
Cagayan
Calayan Group of Islands
Babuyan Group of Islands
Isabela
Batanes Group of Islands
Apayao
Kalinga
Ilocos Norte
Abra
Mt. Province
None
None

Martes, Hunyo 26, 2012

TS Doksuri has maintained its strength..now moving towards Northern Luzon

Tropical Storm Doksuri (Dindo/07W)
06:30 AM PhST 06/27/2012
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 ANALYSIS AND OBSERVATION
-----------------------------------------------

  • latest satellite imagery depicts a consolidating low level circulation center (llcc) with improved convective banding
  • expected to intensify due to favorable environment conditions within the next 12-24 hours..maintaining its Tropical Storm strength while heading towards the extreme Northern Luzon. Possible landfall will be on Thursday Morning near Cagayan.
  • will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon until Tuesday across the Southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao. This will bring rains and windy conditions over the western sections of the country which may trigger flash floods and landslides
     
Tropical Storm Doksuri (Dindo/07W)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale
Tropical Storm
Location
15.4N 128.4E
Distance
796.36 km East of Manila
Maximum Sustained Winds
65 kph
Gustiness Winds
83 kph
Movement
west-northwestward @ 28 kph
Towards
extreme Northern Luzon
Maximum Sea Wave Height
12 feet
Minimum Sea Level Pressure
1000 mb












PHILIPPINE PUBLIC STORM WARNING SIGNALS
As of 05:00 A.M PhST 06/27/2012
PSWS #
LUZON
VISAYAS
MINDANAO
Signal No. 1
(45-60 kph winds)
Cagayan
Isabela
None
None

Linggo, Hunyo 17, 2012

Typhoon Guchol maintain its strength..heading towards Okinawa area, Tropical Depression Talim might become TS within 6-12 hours



Typhoon Guchol/Butchoy
06:30 AM PhST 06/18/2012
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 ANALYSIS AND OBSERVATION
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  • animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows the system has started to show signs of weakening as the eye diameter has slowly decreased over the past 6 hours from 27.78 km to 18.52 km and is becoming more ragged
  • expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility later this afternoon or tonight
  • will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon until Tuesday across the Western Visayas and Western Luzon including Palawan and Metro Manila. This will bring rains and windy conditions over the western sections of the country which may trigger flash floods and landslides

Typhoon Guchol/Butchoy
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale
Category 4
Location
21.5N 127.2E
Distance
648.2 km South of Kadena AB, Okinawa
Maximum Sustained Winds
232 kph
Gustiness Winds
278 kph
Movement
northward @ 20 kph
Towards
Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands
Maximum Sea Wave Height
60 feet
Minimum Sea Level Pressure
930 mb

Tropical Depression Talim/06W
06:30 AM PhST 06/18/2012
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 ANALYSIS AND OBSERVATION
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  •  latest satellite imagery shows a low level circulation center has developed along the northern edge of the system
  • expected to become a Tropical Storm later this morning due to warm sea surface temperatures and upper level outflow heading towards the Northwestern part of Taiwan  
  Tropical Depression Talim/06W
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale
Tropical Depression
Location
18.7N 112.0E
Distance
537.08 km South-Southwest of Hong Kong
Maximum Sustained Winds
56 kph
Gustiness Winds
74 kph
Movement
east-northeastward @ 13 kph
Towards
Taiwan area
Maximum Sea Wave Height
10 feet
Minimum Sea Level Pressure
992 mb

Sabado, Hunyo 16, 2012

Typhoon Guchol might become a Super Typhoon within the next 12-24 hours


Typhoon Guchol/Butchoy
06:30 PM PhST 06/16/2012
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 ANALYSIS AND OBSERVATION
-----------------------------------------------
  • expected to become a Category 5 within the next 12-24 hours...intensifying while over the warm sea surface temperatures of the Philippine Sea
  • latest satellite imagery shows a symmetric eye, approximately 27.78 km wide
  • expected to enhance the Southwest Monsoon until Tuesday across the whole Philippine archipelago. This will bring rains and windy conditions over the western sections of the country which may trigger flash floods and landslides 
Typhoon Guchol/Butchoy
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale
Category 4
Location
15.0N 128.9E
Distance
1259.36 km South of Kadena AB, Okinawa
Maximum Sustained Winds
241 kph
Gustiness Winds
296 kph
Movement
northwestward @ 22 kph
Towards
North Philippine Sea
Maximum Sea Wave Height
43 feet
Minimum Sea Level Pressure
935 mb